Facing the Challenges: Impact of CDC Certification on American Cruise Lines for Sailing Post-COVID-19
The challenge of achieving CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) certification for major American cruise lines to sail again on January 1, 2021, appears daunting in light of the ongoing pandemic. As of now, ships are unlikely to meet the stringent safety requirements that would prevent the spread of diseases, such as the coronavirus. However, the future looks more promising with long-term investments in ship modifications and adherence to stricter protocols.
Current Challenges for January 1, 2021
Given the current situation, it is extremely unlikely that the major American cruise lines will obtain CDC certification by January 1, 2021. The conditions required to ensure the safety of passengers and crew are complex, including advanced modifications to heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems. These systems need to be redesigned to provide safer airflow by creating more separation of air between different areas on the ship, and incorporating UV sterilization and advanced filtration systems. Additionally, increased frequency of air exchange is necessary to limit virus exposure.
Historically, cruise ships have been hotbeds for viral infections, ranging from Legionnaire’s disease to the recent coronavirus outbreak. Therefore, modifying these systems and incorporating these safety measures is a prudent investment, especially considering the ships are currently out of service.
Immediate and Less Costly Changes
Other immediate changes such as modifying food service and implementing social distancing can be implemented relatively quickly. However, these changes would reduce capacity in areas like theaters to what could be considered uneconomic levels unless coupled with better air processing and mask-wearing. This would allow venues to be nearly full while maintaining safety.
Future Prospects and Reopening Scenarios
Despite immediate challenges, there may be a push from those in power to restart operations sooner. However, such a reopening might result in another cancellation, similar to the initial push for economic reopening. The virus's spread in cramped conditions on cruise ships is a significant risk, and it is extremely difficult to guarantee the elimination of virus transmission under these circumstances. An effective, safe, and widely available vaccine would dramatically alter the operational parameters. It might not be until mid-2021 or even later before the conditions for CDC certification are met.
Cruise line operators have decided to conduct practice trips without passengers to test and refine their processes and protocols. This approach will help to ensure that the ships are ready for full and safe operation once the time is right. The schedule for these practice trips has not been finalized yet, but cruise lines are working diligently to prepare for a cautious and responsible resumption of operations.
Conclusion
The path towards achieving CDC certification for American cruise lines to sail again is fraught with challenges. While immediate changes can be implemented, substantial long-term investments and the availability of a safe and effective vaccine will be crucial for ensuring passenger and crew safety. The efforts towards achieving this certification are essential but will require patience, meticulous planning, and the right conditions to succeed.